Universität Hohenheim
 

Eingang zum Volltext

Beissinger, Thomas ; Hellier, Joël ; Marczak, Martyna

Divergence in labour force growth : should wages and prices grow faster in Germany?

Bitte beziehen Sie sich beim Zitieren dieses Dokumentes immer auf folgende
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:100-opus-18114
URL: http://opus.uni-hohenheim.de/volltexte/2020/1811/


pdf-Format:
Dokument 1.pdf (1.115 KB)
Gedruckte Ausgabe:
POD-Logo  Print-on-Demand-Kopie
Dokument in Google Scholar suchen:
Social Media:
Delicious Diese Seite zu Mister Wong hinzufügen Studi/Schüler/Mein VZ Twitter Facebook Connect
Export:
Abrufstatistik:
SWD-Schlagwörter: Inflation , Lohn , Beschäftigungstheorie
Freie Schlagwörter (Englisch): Population growth , Labour force , Inflation , Wages , Germany
Institut: Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre
DDC-Sachgruppe: Wirtschaft
Dokumentart: ResearchPaper
Schriftenreihe: Hohenheim discussion papers in business, economics and social sciences
Bandnummer: 2020,09
Sprache: Englisch
Erstellungsjahr: 2020
Publikationsdatum: 20.10.2020
 
Lizenz: Hohenheimer Lizenzvertrag Veröffentlichungsvertrag mit der Universitätsbibliothek Hohenheim
 
Kurzfassung auf Englisch: We develop a model which shows that wages, prices and real income should grow faster in countries with low increase in their labour force. If not, other countries experience growing unemployment and/or trade deficit. This result is applied to the case of Germany, which has displayed a significantly lower increase in its labour force than its trade partners, except in the moment of the reunification. By assuming that goods are differentiated according to their country of origin (Armington’s hypothesis), a low growth of the working population constrains the production of German goods, which entails an increase in their prices and in German wages. This mechanism is magnified by the low price elasticity of the demand for German goods.Hence,the German policy of wage moderation could severely constrain other countries’ policy options. The simulations of an extended model which encompasses offshoring to emerging countries and labour market imperfections suggest that (i) the impact of differences in labour force growth upon unemployment in Eurozone countries has been significant and (ii) the German demographic shock following unification could explain a large part of the 1995-2005 German economic turmoil.

    © 1996 - 2016 Universität Hohenheim. Alle Rechte vorbehalten.  10.01.24